Discounted Cash Flows: |
||||||||||||
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
Purchase Price | (197,900) | |||||||||||
Potential Gross Income (PGI) | 25,440 | 26,203 | 26,989 | 27,799 | 28,633 | 29,492 | 30,377 | 31,288 | 32,227 | 33,193 | 34,189 | |
Other Income (OI or PGMI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(Vacancy & Collection Loss) (VCL) | (2,162) | (2,227) | (2,294) | (2,363) | (2,434) | (2,507) | (2,582) | (2,659) | (2,739) | (2,821) | (2,906) | |
Effective Gross Income (EGI) | 23,278 | 23,976 | 24,695 | 25,436 | 26,199 | 26,985 | 27,795 | 28,629 | 29,487 | 30,372 | 31,283 | |
Operating Expenses (OE) | (6,390) | (6,518) | (6,648) | (6,781) | (6,917) | (7,055) | (7,196) | (7,340) | (7,487) | (7,637) | (7,789) | |
Net Operating Income (NOI) | 16,888 | 17,458 | 18,047 | 18,655 | 19,282 | 19,930 | 20,598 | 21,288 | 22,000 | 22,735 | 23,494 | |
(Debt Service) (DS) | (6,390) | (6,390) | (6,390) | (6,390) | (6,390) | (6,390) | (6,390) | (6,390) | (6,390) | (6,390) | (6,390) | |
Before Tax Cash Flow | (118,740) | 10,498 | 11,068 | 11,657 | 12,265 | 12,892 | 13,540 | 14,208 | 14,898 | 15,610 | 16,345 | 17,104 |
Sales Price | 276,397 | |||||||||||
Loan Balloon Payment | (35,437) | |||||||||||
Before Tax Sales Revenue | 240,960 | |||||||||||
Unleveraged Cash Flow | Leveraged Cash Flow | General Assumptions | ||||||||||
Cap Rate : 8.5% | Time | $ | Time | $ | Rental Growth Rate | 1.03 | ||||||
Interest Rate : 2.625%: 15-Year Fixed | 0 | (197,900) | 0 | (118,740) | Expense Growth Rate | 1.02 | ||||||
1 | 16,888 | 1 | 10,498 | VCL (8.5%) | 0.085 | |||||||
2 | 17,458 | 2 | 11,068 | Expense Ratio | ||||||||
3 | 18,047 | 3 | 11,657 | Terminal Capitalization Rate | 0.085 | |||||||
4 | 18,655 | 4 | 12,265 | |||||||||
5 | 19,282 | 5 | 12,892 | |||||||||
6 | 19,930 | 6 | 13,540 | Loan Assumptions | Monthly | |||||||
7 | 20,598 | 7 | 14,208 | Loan to Value (40%) | 70,160 | |||||||
8 | 21,288 | 8 | 14,898 | Interest Rate | 2.63% | |||||||
9 | 22,000 | 9 | 15,610 | Amortization Period | 15 year | |||||||
10 | 22,735 | 10 | 257,306 | Payments per year | 12 | |||||||
Sales Price: | 276,397 | Payment | 532.50 a month | |||||||||
NPV: | $ 185,405.48 | NPV: | $ 181,652.09 | Balloon Payment | $ 35,437.00 | |||||||
IRR: | 0.1192 | IRR: | 0.1551 |
Double E Investment Group
Tuesday, November 20, 2012
Discounted Cash Flows
Property Analysis:
River Oaks Townhome Unit 1304
Property Address: 305 Holleman Drive Unit 1304 College Station, TX 77840
Square Footage: 1836
Asking Price: $197,900.00
Price/Square Ft: 95.59
HOA Fee: 120.00/month
General
Construction:
-True townhome style living with 9' ceiling and fenced rear yard
-Large bedrooms with ceiling fan and overhead lights
-Walk-in closets in each bedroom
-Each bedroom has its own bathroom
-Individual thermostats in each bedroom
-Walk-in utility room with available full-size washer and dryer
- Fully equipped kitchen with self-cleaning oven and glass
stovetop; large refridgerator with ice maker; microwave oven; dishwasher;
granite countertops
-Faux wood blinds on each window
-Assigned resident and visitor parking
-Wired for security, internet, and surround sound
-Electronic remote gate entry for each resident
Floor Plan:
Low Maintenance Exterior:
-Lawn care provided by Home Owners Association
-ACME brick
-Concrete rear patio
-Fenced private backyard
-Front yard landscaping
-Sidewalks for easy access to other residents and parking
Amenities:
-On Texas A&M shuttle route
-Secure gated entrances with parking at resident's door
-Clubhouse with coffee bar, fitness room, pool, hot tubs, and
jogging trails
-Located adjacent to Wolf Pen Creek Park
Convenient Location:
-About one mile from campus
-On campus bus route
-Less than five minutes from
Sorority Row and Post Oak Mall
-Gated entry with wrought iron
fencing
-Located within walking distance
from Wolf Pen Creek
Competitors include 4 bed 4 bath
townhomes within a 5 mile radius of Texas A&M University that were built
within 5 years prior or post 2006. Other available River Oaks Townhomes for
sale are also considered competitors.
Competitor
|
Year Built
|
Sq Ft
|
Rent Revenue
|
Current Sale Price
|
Wolf Creek Condos
|
2008
|
1473
|
$1,590.00
|
For lease only
|
Waterwood Townhomes
|
2006
|
1490
|
$1450.00
|
$144,500.00
|
Fox Run Condos
|
2003
|
1600
|
$1,590.00
|
$142,000.00
|
River Oaks Townhomes
|
2009
|
1693
|
$1695.00
|
$197,900.00
|
Supply
& Demand:
Students of Texas A&M University occupy a large portion of the
local rental stock. Approximately, 8,000 students are housed in dormitories and
700 students are living in university owned apartments located, however this is
going to change due to redevelopment of on campus housing. The remaining 37,000
students are housed in the private housing market. The estimated vacancy rate
of 8.5 percent (Figure 8), has increased by 2 percentage points during the 12
year period. On average, 750 multifamily units a year have been permitted in
the HMA since 2000.
Our target market is Texas A&M students. With the property
conveniently placed just one mile from campus and on the bus route, it is an
ideal location for student living. The Texas Higher education board reported
fall 2011 enrollment for Texas A&M at 49,861, and showed a steady increase
over the past 4 years. Demand for student living is on the rise.
SWOT Analysis:
Map of River Oaks and Surronding Area
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