Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Discounted Cash Flows




Discounted Cash Flows:



 
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Purchase Price(197,900)
Potential Gross Income (PGI)25,440 26,203 26,989 27,799 28,633 29,492 30,377 31,288 32,227 33,193 34,189
Other Income (OI or PGMI)0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
(Vacancy & Collection Loss) (VCL)(2,162)(2,227)(2,294)(2,363)(2,434)(2,507)(2,582)(2,659)(2,739)(2,821)(2,906)
Effective Gross Income (EGI)23,278 23,976 24,695 25,436 26,199 26,985 27,795 28,629 29,487 30,372 31,283
Operating Expenses (OE)(6,390)(6,518)(6,648)(6,781)(6,917)(7,055)(7,196)(7,340)(7,487)(7,637)(7,789)
Net Operating Income (NOI)16,888 17,458 18,047 18,655 19,282 19,930 20,598 21,288 22,000 22,735 23,494
(Debt Service) (DS)(6,390)(6,390)(6,390)(6,390)(6,390)(6,390)(6,390)(6,390)(6,390)(6,390)(6,390)
Before Tax Cash Flow(118,740)10,498 11,068 11,657 12,265 12,892 13,540 14,208 14,898 15,610 16,345 17,104
Sales Price276,397
Loan Balloon Payment(35,437)
Before Tax Sales Revenue240,960
 Unleveraged Cash FlowLeveraged Cash FlowGeneral Assumptions 
Cap Rate : 8.5%Time$Time$Rental Growth Rate 1.03
Interest Rate : 2.625%: 15-Year Fixed0 (197,900)0 (118,740)Expense Growth Rate1.02
1 16,888 1 10,498 VCL (8.5%)0.085
2 17,458 2 11,068 Expense Ratio
3 18,047 3 11,657 Terminal Capitalization Rate0.085
4 18,655 4 12,265
5 19,282 5 12,892
6 19,930 6 13,540 Loan AssumptionsMonthly
7 20,598 7 14,208 Loan to Value (40%)70,160
8 21,288 8 14,898 Interest Rate2.63%
9 22,000 9 15,610 Amortization Period15 year
10 22,735 10 257,306 Payments per year12
Sales Price:276,397 Payment532.50 a month
NPV: $ 185,405.48 NPV: $ 181,652.09 Balloon Payment $  35,437.00
IRR:0.1192 IRR:0.1551



 

 
Map of Business
 
 
 
 Property Analysis:
 
River Oaks Townhome Unit 1304
 
Property Address: 305 Holleman Drive Unit 1304 College Station, TX 77840
 
Square Footage: 1836
 
Asking Price: $197,900.00
 
Price/Square Ft: 95.59
 
HOA Fee: 120.00/month
 
 
General Construction:
-True townhome style living with 9' ceiling and fenced rear yard
-Large bedrooms with ceiling fan and overhead lights
-Walk-in closets in each bedroom
-Each bedroom has its own bathroom
-Individual thermostats in each bedroom
-Walk-in utility room with available full-size washer and dryer
- Fully equipped kitchen with self-cleaning oven and glass stovetop; large refridgerator with ice maker; microwave oven; dishwasher; granite countertops
-Faux wood blinds on each window
-Assigned resident and visitor parking
-Wired for security, internet, and surround sound
-Electronic remote gate entry for each resident
 

 

 

 

Floor Plan:
 

 

 
Low Maintenance Exterior:
-Lawn care provided by Home Owners Association
-ACME brick
-Concrete rear patio
-Fenced private backyard
-Front yard landscaping
-Sidewalks for easy access to other residents and parking
 
Amenities:
-On Texas A&M shuttle route
-Secure gated entrances with parking at resident's door
-Clubhouse with coffee bar, fitness room, pool, hot tubs, and jogging trails
-Located adjacent to Wolf Pen Creek Park
 
Convenient Location:
-About one mile from campus
-On campus bus route
-Less than five minutes from Sorority Row and Post Oak Mall
-Gated entry with wrought iron fencing
-Located within walking distance from Wolf Pen Creek
 
 
Competitor Analysis:

Competitors include 4 bed 4 bath townhomes within a 5 mile radius of Texas A&M University that were built within 5 years prior or post 2006. Other available River Oaks Townhomes for sale are also considered competitors.

Competitor

Year Built

Sq Ft

Rent Revenue

Current Sale Price

Wolf Creek Condos

2008

1473

$1,590.00

For lease only

Waterwood Townhomes

2006

1490

$1450.00

$144,500.00

Fox Run Condos

2003

1600

$1,590.00

$142,000.00

River Oaks Townhomes

2009

1693

$1695.00

$197,900.00
 
Supply & Demand:
Students of Texas A&M University occupy a large portion of the local rental stock. Approximately, 8,000 students are housed in dormitories and 700 students are living in university owned apartments located, however this is going to change due to redevelopment of on campus housing. The remaining 37,000 students are housed in the private housing market. The estimated vacancy rate of 8.5 percent (Figure 8), has increased by 2 percentage points during the 12 year period. On average, 750 multifamily units a year have been permitted in the HMA since 2000.
Our target market is Texas A&M students. With the property conveniently placed just one mile from campus and on the bus route, it is an ideal location for student living. The Texas Higher education board reported fall 2011 enrollment for Texas A&M at 49,861, and showed a steady increase over the past 4 years. Demand for student living is on the rise.

 

SWOT Analysis:
 
Map of  River Oaks and Surronding Area